“The sky is falling, the sky is falling.” Said Henny Penny the
chicken of the fable. Henny Penny was wrong. Sen. Marco Rubio says under
Obamacare “75% of small businesses now say they are going to be forced to
either fire workers or cut their hours.” Paul Bedard of the Washington
Examiner’s “Washington’s Secrets, says, “74% of small businesses will fire
workers, cut hours under Obamacare.” And other modern Henny Penny’s are yakking
it up about the sky falling under Obamacare and they are as wrong as the
original Henny Penny. FOX news feeds all this nonsense.
First, what is a small business? When I think of a small business,
the first image that comes to mind is a Mom and Pop store that may not have any
hired employees for a few high schoolers helping out part-time. Rubio is
talking about the businesses that have 50 or more full-time employees that will
be required to provide affordable, comprehensive health coverage’s or face
$2,000 penalties for each full-time worker after the first 30. Those certainly
are not mammoth businesses, but small? Also it just doesn’t ring true.
So, how did Rubio and the other Henny Pennys come up with their
data. Well, a survey was made by the Chamber of Commerce with the following
options for “small businesses” to check: a. reduce hire to avoid this mandate
(24%); b. cut back hour to less that fulltime employees (27%); c. stop
providing health insurance; d. Replace full-time workers with part-time (23%); e.
none of the above. Yep, 74% if you add those up. However, that ignores those
who didn’t answer the survey and give no responses to c and e. Smoke and
mirrors time.
How many would cut back hours or replace fulltime workers because
of this law – 5- 9%
We also need to bear in mind that most companies have 10 or less
employees, which better fits my idea of a small business. The group that has
between 25 to 49 employees the Rubio laments about; 87% of them already proved
health benefits (Kaiser Family Foundation’s annual employer survey.) As
companies that have between 50 to 199 employees, 94% of them already offer
benefits.
Are these businesses worried? Of course, that is the nature of the
game. But the 75% numbers that Rubio and others cite are hogwash. Or, as
PolitiFact says, it is a “pants-on-fire” lie. Again as they say, Categories don’t add up
The study was conducted among a national sample of 1,300
executives for small businesses, defined as fewer than 500 employees and with
annual revenue less than $25 million. It included chamber members and
non-members "weighted to be representative of the small business
population."
The chamber told us executives were first asked whether the
employer mandate would affect them:
As a
result of the health care law, the employer mandate will require employers with
more than 50 full-time workers to offer health coverage to all full-time
employees and their dependents or face a penalty. The law defines a full-time
employee as someone who works 30 hours per week and the penalty is based on the
number of full-time employees. Will you be impacted by the employer mandate?
The result of that survey was 17% that 17% was then asked to
respond to the 5 questions mentioned earlier.
Since most small businesses don’t know how the law will affect
them, perhaps it is more prudent to wait and see when the law comes into
effect.
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